Events/Which companies will have a #1 AI model by June 30?

Which companies will have a #1 AI model by June 30?

Event Details

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company has the highest arena score on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) for any amount of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/ with the style control unchecked will be used to resolve this market. If a listed model ties for #1 Arena score, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again. If it becomes permanently unavailable, resolution will be based on another credible source.

Total Volume

$1.4M

Liquidity

$72.2K

Tags
techaibusinessdeepseekgrok
Outcomes (10)
Individual markets within this event

Will Alibaba have a #1 AI model by June 30?

Yes7%
No93%

Will Baidu have a #1 AI model by June 30?

Yes4%
No96%

Will DeepSeek have a #1 AI model by June 30?

Yes7%
No93%

Will Meituan have a #1 AI model by June 30?

Yes3%
No97%

Will Meta have a #1 AI model by June 30?

Yes10%
No90%

Will Mistral have a #1 AI model by June 30?

Yes4%
No96%

Will Nvidia have a #1 AI model by June 30?

Yes5%
No95%

Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?

Yes30%
No70%

Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?

Yes13%
No88%

Will Z.ai have a #1 AI model by June 30?

Yes6%
No94%
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